Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 78.5%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet29. März 26, 01:32 UTC1. Jan. 27, 02:31 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any Democrat governor be charged with a felony by EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Howie Lempel (CEO at 80,000 Hours) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsClavicular sentenced to prison?
PolymarketWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiTom Lee charged by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if a felony charge is filed against Braden Eric Peters aka "Clavicular" in any U.S. court after March 28, 2026.
- Resolves NO on January 1, 2027 otherwise.
- The Arizona forgery/drug charges from February 2026 do not count, as they predate this market.
- Note that simply getting arrested does not count either.
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 347.566,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.350,6 €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6819,5 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 498.593 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6136,1 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Clavicular be charged with another felony??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 79% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Clavicular be charged with another felony? entschieden?
- Will Clavicular be charged with another felony? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Clavicular be charged with another felony? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if a felony charge is filed against Braden Eric Peters aka "Clavicular" in any U.S. court after March 28, 2026.