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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
8. Apr. 26, 14:19 UTC31. Okt. 26, 04:00 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
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Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
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PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending August 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 80 tonnes for August 2026 NO if: Export volume below 80 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)