Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 99%
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47
Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet5. Feb. 25, 02:21 UTC23. Dez. 32, 04:59 UTC
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Background Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on December 27, 2024, by NASA's ATLAS telescope in Chile.
- The asteroid is estimated to be between 40-90 meters in diameter.
- Current calculations indicate a potential impact date of December 22, 2032, with odds ranging from 1 in 77 to 1 in 83.
- The potential impact corridor spans South America, the Atlantic Ocean, Africa, the Arabian Sea, and South Asia.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Asteroid 2024 YR4 impacts Earth's surface or atmosphere on or around December 22, 2032.
- The market will resolve NO if:
Offene Märkte
Latin America
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth? entschieden?
- Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth? soll am 23. Dezember 2032 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Background Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on December 27, 2024, by NASA's ATLAS telescope in Chile.