Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Tarcísio de Freitas 82%-2.5%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1944,9 €
Liquidität
107.824,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
11.4% / 13.9%
Spread
21.9%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+1.9%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
27. Apr. 26, 21:304. Okt. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Tarcísio de Freitas82%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
São Paulo Governor winner?
87.0%1J
+87.0%91%
92%
8%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen263,5 €
24h-Volumen4,9 €
KALSHIRegeln
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).