PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Tarcísio de Freitas 94%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
363,2 €
Liquidität
117.171,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 5.5%
Spread
10.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+1.3%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
27. Apr. 26, 21:254. Okt. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Tarcísio de Freitas94%
Plattformen vergleichen· Tarcísio de Freitas
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 94% | 0pt | 363,2 € | 117.171,7 € | vor 21 Minuten | |
 Kalshi80% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 92% | -2pt | 0,9 € | 11.399,7 € | vor 21 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
São Paulo Governor winner?
3.0%1J
-3.0%92%
8%
1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
60 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen28.731,6 €
24h-Volumen0,9 €
KALSHIRegeln
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$4.8k92.0%POLYMARKETYes78979879879879vor 24 Tagen
POLYMARKETYes78979879879879vor 24 TagenVolumentrend
$4132. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
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The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).