Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Kim Kataguiri 91%+87.0%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4,9 €
Liquidität
112,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.0% / 14.0%
Spread
133.3%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
25. Apr. 26, 14:004. Okt. 27, 14:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Kim Kataguiri91%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
0.8%3Mon
-2.5%82%
+0.8%13%
+0.3%4%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
64 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen64.055,3 €
24h-Volumen1944,8 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.