KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Tarcísio de Freitas 98%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
11.336,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
25. Apr. 26, 14:00 UTC4. Okt. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
São Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
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PolymarketSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
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PolymarketElected Senators for São Paulo in 2026
FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — São Paulo Governor Election Winner · Tarcísio de Freitas 99%
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für São Paulo Governor winner??
- Kalshi bewertet Tarcísio de Freitas mit 98% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird São Paulo Governor winner? entschieden?
- São Paulo Governor winner? soll am 4. Oktober 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird São Paulo Governor winner? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird São Paulo Governor winner? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.