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Daten vom 24.10.2026, 18:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a smartphone that can securely attach to the skin while biking by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Minor upgrades of existing products do not count as novel.
- Bold innovative things that haven't been done before do count as novel.
- Things that have been done before by other companies but never by Apple may count as novel, if they're not pathetic and dumb.
- Some examples:
- An upgraded Macbook that gets 30% better performance is not novel.
- A 2-in-1 Macbook that folds back to turn into an iPad is novel.