Will (any) Trump run against (any) Obama in the 2028 presidential election?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98.2%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert31. März 25, 15:58 UTC5. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves based on whether the 2028 U.S. presidential election features a direct matchup between a member of the Trump family and a member of the Obama family, including as independent candidates, president or vice-president.
- For this market to resolve YES, one major party nominee must be from the Trump family (Donald, Don Jr., Ivanka, Eric, etc.) and the other major party nominee must be from the Obama family (Barack, Michelle, etc.).
- Other people with the same surnames do not count.
- If only one family has a nominee, or neither family has a nominee, the market resolves NO.
