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Daten vom 26.10.2026, 07:03 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 91.6%
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet7. Apr. 26, 14:56 UTC31. Dez. 29, 05:00 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any OEM be producing LLZO solid-state battery packs at commercial scale (≥1 GWh/year) by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla significantly invest in new battery chemistry before a solid state battery EV is delivered in the US?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about solid-state batteries in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I deem Donut Lab's solid state battery claims in their video to have been false one year from now?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
PolymarketTesla Roadster delivered by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if at least one automotive OEM or battery manufacturer is producing LLZO (Li7La3Zr2O12, lithium lanthanum zirconium oxide) solid-state battery packs at commercial scale — defined as an annualized production rate of at least 1 GWh/year at a single facility — by December 31, 2029.
- Toyota, Samsung SDI, or another OEM has confirmed commercial LLZO SSB production at a single facility with annualized capacity of at least 1 GWh/year by Dec 31, 2029
- Commercial vehicle deliveries with LLZO SSB packs are documented (not prototype/demo)
- Production at ≥1 GWh/year run rate confirmed by company disclosures or independent audit
- Only pilot or demonstration scale production exists (<1 GWh/year annualized) by Dec 31, 2029
- Only sulfide-based SSBs (not LLZO garnet chemistry) reach commercial scale
