Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 28.10.2026, 12:46 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 71.1%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
7. Apr. 26, 14:56 UTC31. Dez. 27, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any OEM be producing LLZO solid-state battery packs at commercial scale (≥1 GWh/year) by December 31, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Google release a Pixel phone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla release a car using solid-state battery technology by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?
PolymarketWill Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves YES if at least one automotive OEM or battery manufacturer is producing LLZO (Li7La3Zr2O12, lithium lanthanum zirconium oxide) solid-state battery packs at commercial scale — defined as an annualized production rate of at least 1 GWh/year at a single facility — by December 31, 2027.
- Toyota, Samsung SDI, or another OEM has confirmed commercial LLZO SSB production at a single facility with annualized capacity of at least 1 GWh/year
- Commercial vehicle deliveries with LLZO SSB packs are documented (not prototype/demo)
- Production announced for ≥1 GWh/year run rate and confirmed by independent reporting
- Only pilot or demonstration scale production exists (<1 GWh/year annualized)
- Sulfide-based SSBs (QuantumScape, Solid Power) are at commercial scale but not LLZO
