Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2026?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikEuropa2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 97%
Prognostiker
0
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet23. Feb. 26, 02:13 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolves YES if any country (population >1 million) enacts legislation that explicitly taxes the use of robots, AI systems, or automation equipment, or imposes a dedicated levy on firms that automate jobs, by December 31, 2026.
- What counts: A tax specifically targeting automation/AI/robots — not general capital gains taxes, corporate taxes, or investment tax credit changes.
- South Korea's 2017 reduction of automation investment tax credits would NOT count as it was a credit reduction, not a dedicated tax.
- What doesn't count: Proposals, bills that don't pass, or taxes on AI companies (as opposed to taxes on the act of automating).
- Baseline: As of February 2026, no country has enacted a dedicated robot/automation tax.
- The EU rejected a robot tax proposal in 2017.
