Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 73.6%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
24. Okt. 25, 14:46 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
KalshiWill the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?
KalshiWill the New York Pro Basketball team visit the White House?
KalshiWill Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
PolymarketWho will be the next White House press secretary in 2026?
PredictItSusie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
YES resolves if:
- A credible source (news report, official filing, or photographic evidence) confirms demolition of another entire structural section of the White House beyond the East Wing.
- “Major section” means a complete wing (e.g., West Wing), a full floor, or another comparably large and integral structure of the White House complex.
- NO resolves if:
- No further major demolition beyond the East Wing occurs by December 31, 2026.
- Any changes limited to the East Wing site (already demolished), cosmetic renovations, interior remodels, or partial façade adjustments do not count.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 74% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026? entschieden?
- Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: YES resolves if: