Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 04:34 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 62.1%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet9. Feb. 26, 20:26 UTC31. Dez. 28, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Kamoa-Kakula copper production exceed 500,000 tonnes for calendar year 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Chile's Valeriano Mine copper production exceed 7.5 million tonnes by February 16, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Anglo American's Chilean copper production fall below 400,000 tonnes in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 1500 kt?
Manifold MarketsCopper price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiCopper price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if total annual copper cathode production from bio-leaching of primary sulfide ores exceeds 10,000 tonnes in calendar year 2028.
- Combined output from Nuton-enabled sites (JCM + any new deployments) plus any other commercial bio-leaching operations on primary sulfides totals >10 kt
- Production data published in operator annual reports, technical reports, or verified by independent commodity consultancies
- Total primary sulfide bio-leach production remains below 10 kt in CY2028
- Only pilot/test production (not commercial-scale) exceeds threshold
