Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.7%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet7. Apr. 26, 13:26 UTC1. Juli 28, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31?
Manifold MarketsWill Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 12 tonnes in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 20 tonnes in 2027?
Manifold MarketsCopper price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiCopper price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if Kamoa-Kakula's total copper in concentrate production for the calendar year January–December 2027 exceeds 500,000 tonnes (100% basis), as reported in Ivanhoe Mines quarterly production reports.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Settlement is June 30, 2028 to allow time for Q4 2027 production data to be published (Ivanhoe reports quarterly with ~45 day lag).
- The Q4 2027 report is typically available by mid-February 2028.
- Context: The 500,000 tpa target was Ivanhoe's flagship milestone — the point at which Kamoa-Kakula would rank among the world's top 3 copper mines.
- Originally targeted for 2027, flooding in May 2025 and a reserve downgrade in March 2026 pushed the timeline to 2028.
