Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83.4%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet21. Mai 25, 14:29 UTC2. Jan. 30, 14:28 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Andy Weir’s next novel take place in space?
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KalshiWill Irwin B. return to work at Lumon in season 3 of "Severance"?
Futuur"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRegeln
In May 2025, the Chicago Sun-Times newspaper published an AI-generated "summer reading list for 2025" that recommended several books which don’t actually exist, including "The Last Algorithm" by sci-fi author Andy Weir (author of the books The Martian, Artemis, and Project Hail Mary).
- This prediction market asks whether Andy Weir will actually write a work titled "The Last Algorithm" before the year 2030.
- Resolving rules
- This will be resolved YES shortly after the work becomes available and can be read by an ordinary person.
- This will be resolved NO at the beginning of the year 2030 if no public information about such a work exists.
- UTC timezone will be used to determine the start of 2030.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 342.752,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 91.191,2 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 182.400 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 90.788,6 €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 264.563,9 €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 84.327,3 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 83% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030) entschieden?
- Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030) soll am 2. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: In May 2025, the Chicago Sun-Times newspaper published an AI-generated "summer reading list for 2025" that recommended several books which don’t actually exist, including "The Last Algorithm" by sci-fi author Andy Weir (author of the books The Martian, Artemis, and Project Hail Mary).