Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83.2%
Prognostiker
105
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet9. Feb. 23, 15:48 UTC31. Dez. 29, 22:01 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Nirvanna The Band The Show The Movie be nominated for an Oscar?
Manifold MarketsWill the Legend of Zelda movie be nominated for an Oscar in any category?
Manifold MarketsMidjourney is credited by name in a movie which is nominated for an Oscar before 4/2028
Manifold MarketsWill Exit 8 be nominated for an Oscar in any category?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiRegeln
Market resolves to YES if:
- At least one movie with footage that is entirely generated by a text-to-video AI is nominated for an Oscar before 2030.
- Everything else can be done by humans, including music score, script-writing, dialogue and editing, provided all of the original footage is AI-generated.
- The movie can be nominated in any category.
- Close date updated to 2030-01-01 12:01 am
