Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 59.4%
Prognostiker
25
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet16. Dez. 23, 19:15 UTC1. Jan. 31, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
I will resolve YES if a novel computing medium (analog, optical, quantum, ect.) computer component enters market and is available and received by consumers by December 31, 2030.
- A novel computing medium shall be defined as any computing machine not utilizing silicone (or other semiconductor) based transistors.
- The consumer device can be either a component (GPU, Accelerator Card, ect.), or a standalone device (Mobile Phone, Wearable, ect.), but must be purchasable for $2000, 2023 purchasing power.
- Additionally Resolves YES, if any of the below markets resolve YES.
- https://manifold.markets/henryw/will-the-first-optical-computer-be?r=THVjYXNUaGVsZW4
- https://manifold.markets/AidenPetersen/will-we-see-analog-accelerators-in
Offene Märkte
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $82,250 or above99%
- $82,000 or above99%
- $76,000 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
KALSHIETH price range on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $3,300 to 3,339.9990%
- $1,540 to 1,579.99+89.0pt90%
- $1,539.99 or below90%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 661.989,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $78,000 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $77,500 or above99%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 554.604,9 €
KALSHIETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1,940 or above99%
- $2,180 or above99%
- $2,140 or above99%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 811.460,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 379.462 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+25.0pt48%
- 80° to 81°+1.0pt39.2%
- 82° to 83°-18.0pt6.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
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- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
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- ETH price range on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 59.4% (Stand: 23. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? entschieden?
- Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I will resolve YES if a novel computing medium (analog, optical, quantum, ect.) computer component enters market and is available and received by consumers by December 31, 2030.