Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 57.2%
Prognostiker
27
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Stunden
Veraltet15. Feb. 24, 11:02 UTC1. März 45, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a human walk on Mars before the end of 2045?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before 2044?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of Mars before January 1st 2045.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-b78c73592440
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-cbd9e461335b
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-f591cd57e406
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-df3792742b47
