Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
WetterDaily6J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 70.2%
Prognostiker
27
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet7. Mai 24, 04:55 UTC1. Jan. 33, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will strong AGI be achieved before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before strong AGI is achieved?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before 2033?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI discovers room-temperature superconductor before EOY?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Walking on Mars as defined by societal consensus
- Sueprconductor as defined by at the same conditions as the LK-99 market, but for any material. and/or general scientific community consensus
- Market open until one happens