Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAdam Hamilton (d) 60%+7.2ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+26.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet29. Okt. 26, 00:06 UTC1. Jan. 27, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will win the special election to fill JD Vance's Senate seat?
Manifold MarketsWho will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
KalshiIf this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the Kentucky Senate Seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
KalshiRegeln
Polls indicate a possible upset, but if we’ve learned anything in the last two elections… polls are often wrong.
- Kansas hadn’t elected a Democrat senator since 1932.
- If the election is clearly called by at least 2 major news organizations the question will settle.
- If the result is in doubt it will resolve by the end of the year when it does get called or, if needed with a best estimate based on Kalshi odds
