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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district

PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl6Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
Marie Alvarado-Gil (incumbent) 6.8%
Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker

4

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Tagen

Veraltet
18. Juni 25, 14:3631. Dez. 26, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Marie Alvarado-Gil (incumbent)7%

Regeln

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district.
  • The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
  • (ballotpedia.org)
  • California's 4th State Senate district encompasses parts of the northeastern Central Valley, the central Sierra Nevada, and Death Valley, including counties such as Stanislaus, Calaveras, Amador, El Dorado, Placer, Alpine, Tuolumne, Mariposa, Madera, Mono, and Inyo.
  • The district is currently represented by Senator Marie Alvarado-Gil, a Democrat who assumed office on December 5, 2022.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,035.94+0.95%EthereumETH$1,656.17-0.59%SolanaSOL$65.58+0.15%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851-0.03%XRPXRP$1.12-1.60%BNBBNB$602.25+1.04%

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Regeln

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district.
  • The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
  • (ballotpedia.org)
  • California's 4th State Senate district encompasses parts of the northeastern Central Valley, the central Sierra Nevada, and Death Valley, including counties such as Stanislaus, Calaveras, Amador, El Dorado, Placer, Alpine, Tuolumne, Mariposa, Madera, Mono, and Inyo.
  • The district is currently represented by Senator Marie Alvarado-Gil, a Democrat who assumed office on December 5, 2022.