Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Samuel Alito 58.8%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Samuel Alito 58.8%Prognostiker
40
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-1.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet6. Nov. 22, 22:23 UTC1. Jan. 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Manifold MarketsWhich STF judge will leave the court with less than 74 years old?
Manifold MarketsWho will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
PolymarketNext Justice to leave the US Supreme Court
FutuurRegeln
If it's multiple justices simultaneously, this market will resolve to an per-person split of all correct answers (eg: if there were 11 Justices and all 11 left, it would resolve with each current member AND 2 shares on the named outcome
