Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Donald Trump 79.4%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Donald Trump 79.4%Prognostiker
70
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet17. Juli 24, 16:41 UTC2. Jan. 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Trump/sitting President refuses Supreme Court order, what happens next?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a sitting president smoke weed publicly before the end of 2037?
Manifold MarketsWill a sitting president smoke weed publicly before the end of 2049?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketRegeln
As of midnight US eastern time.
- Any person who ascends to the office of the presidency or the vice presidency will be added as an option.
- If this question does not have a well-defined answer pointing to a specific person -- if the office of the presidency does not exist or is vacant or is in substantial dispute -- then that would currently point to "Other", though I will break it out into its own option if it starts to seem likely.
