Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseChris Hipkins 50.9%-0.3ptFührend unter 17 Optionen
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+7.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet14. Okt. 23, 18:59 UTC2. Jan. 50, 07:59 UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
[Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PolymarketWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsIf Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves to the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand, whoever that will be. "Other" will never resolve positively.
- I'm not sure how the "Other" category works.
- If you think that none of the listed people will resolve positively, your best bet is probably to bet against them rather than bet in favour of "Other".
