Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?
Unterhaltung3Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
The Winds of Winter 69.9%
Prognostiker
31
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet4. Juni 24, 18:07 UTC1. Jan. 27, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketWinds of Winter released before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter?
Manifold MarketsAny one of Half Life 3, the Winds of Winter, or Elder Scrolls 6 announced before the end of 2026
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KalshiRegeln
Resolved upon release.
- In the event the book's name is changed, the next novel-length sequel in either series will win.
- (For example, if Rothfuss releases a surprise KC prequel that is not functionally the third book in his projected trilogy, that would not resolve YES--but if he just renames the third book "I hate writing here's the book give me my money and go away," that would resolve YES.)
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)??
- Manifold Markets bewertet The Winds of Winter mit 70% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)? entschieden?
- Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolved upon release.