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  3. Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

0.5% (24h)UnterhaltungYearly6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 11%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

91,2 €

Liquidität

2417,7 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

9.0% / 13.0%

Spread

44.4%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

16. Jan. 26, 0:3331. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes11%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.

Polymarket
  • Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
  • The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
  • This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.

Polymarket
  • Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
  • The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
  • This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.