Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Barack Obama 73.9%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Barack Obama 73.9%Prognostiker
45
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet17. Nov. 24, 10:36 UTC1. Jan. 51, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
All listed who are alive when an artificial general intelligence (AGI) is created will resolve YES.
- Any who die before this time will resolve NO.
- Whether AGI has been reached will depend on this market.
- So, there must be proof of an AI passing the Turing test for any living president in this market to resolve YES.
- If any new president is elected before AGI, their name will be added to this market.
