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Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsPrivate Companies - greatest valuation growth October 2026
PolymarketWill SpaceX's first Starship Cargo mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiWill Elon be able to send humans to Mars before 2050
Manifold MarketsRegeln
The question will resolve as "YES" for each space agency or private company that successfully lands humans on Mars before the end of 2030.
- If multiple agencies or companies achieve this independently or through a collaboration, each will be resolved as "YES" individually.
- The successful landing is defined by a human crew safely reaching the surface of Mars and conducting at least one extravehicular activity (EVA) or surface operation.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements and confirmations from the respective agencies or credible space exploration authorities.