Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDemocrats 73.7%+9.5pt
Prognostiker
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Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
5. Feb. 26, 4:583. Nov. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democrats74%
Plattformen vergleichen· Democrats
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 74% | — | — | — | vor 11 Minuten | |
 PredictIt80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 60% | — | — | — | vor 11 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Iowa?
10Mon
60%
39%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegeln
Resolves to the winner.
- Resolves on media reporting and official results.
- Trump won the state by 13.2% in 2024.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2349. Juli5T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
832.457,5 €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
606.780,6 €James Fishback: 3%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
462.203,4 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
358.169,2 €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ohio Governor winner?
347.589,4 €Vivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
241.282,8 €At least 1%: 95%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Resolves to the winner.
- Resolves on media reporting and official results.
- Trump won the state by 13.2% in 2024.