Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Maryland's 3rd District?
2.6 Pkt. (24h)PolitikMonthlyUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 202613T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDemocratic Party — Sarah Elfreth 97%+2.6ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+2.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet6. Okt. 26, 05:56 UTC4. Nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsMaryland's 3rd District margin of victory
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Maryland's 3rd congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
