Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's 4th District?
0.9 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 202614T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDemocratic Party — Jennifer McClellan 98%-0.9ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-1.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
6. Okt. 26, 06:23 UTC4. Nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
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ForecastExRegeln
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Virginia's 4th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
