Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Will Opportunity get more than 2.22%? 98%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+3.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet29. Jan. 26, 01:41 UTC25. Nov. 26, 01:41 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWho will I party vote for in the 2026 NZ General Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PolymarketNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketRegeln
resolves yes if the party vote % is higher for the Nov 7 2026 election than the 2023 election
- Win Prizes by trading on this market: https://manifold.markets/post/prize-pool-of-5500-mana-for-the-202
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Will Opportunity get more than 2.22%? mit 98% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election? entschieden?
- Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election? soll am 25. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: resolves yes if the party vote % is higher for the Nov 7 2026 election than the 2023 election