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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?
Manifold Markets

Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?

KITechnik4J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
xAI 99.1%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker

148

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden

Veraltet
3. Dez. 25, 0:543. Dez. 30, 0:54

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Manifold Markets
Anthropic
0.5%
Manifold Markets
OpenAI
0.4%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

xAI99%

Regeln

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the company that is the first to be publicly traded.
  • Qualifying Events The following events count as an IPO for the purpose of this market:
  • Traditional IPO
  • Direct Listing
  • Merging with another private company then IPOing together (e.g. xAI and SpaceX)

Verwandte Märkte

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

153.521,9 €
Anthropic: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

16.248 €
Anthropic: 91%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best Chinese AI Company end of June?

Best Chinese AI Company end of June?

7557,2 €
Alibaba: 78%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

6079,5 €
By Dec 31, 2025: 74%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2026

2471,7 €
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

2291,5 €
Jan 1, 2027: 18.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,539.26+0.02%SolanaSOL$66.75-0.37%EthereumETH$1,665.82-0.86%DogecoinDOGE$0.0877+1.44%BNBBNB$604.18+0.00%XRPXRP$1.13-0.61%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regeln

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the company that is the first to be publicly traded.
  • Qualifying Events The following events count as an IPO for the purpose of this market:
  • Traditional IPO
  • Direct Listing
  • Merging with another private company then IPOing together (e.g. xAI and SpaceX)