Which of Catalonia, Scotland, or Quebec will achieve independence first?
PolitikManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseScotland 69%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet26. Okt. 23, 03:50 UTC27. Okt. 00, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Bougainville Island achieve independence from Papua New Guinea before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will control the House?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves to the first of the three regions which has an internationally recognized independent government. "Internationally recognized" means that they recieve diplomatic recognition from at least one current permanent member of the UN security council, or any widely recognized successor governments to such members.
- (Thus, Russia/France/China/US/UK).
- The government must claim to primarily be the government of Catalonia/Scotland/Quebec.
- This question will not close until the resolution criteria is satisfied by one of the regions.