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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Space
  3. When will there be x simultaneously operational Starships?
Manifold Markets

When will there be x simultaneously operational Starships?

One-OffSpace2Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
05 by end of 2026/08 i.e. Aug 2026 1%
Führend unter 19 Optionen
Prognostiker

16

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Tagen

Veraltet
19. Juni 25, 15:0631. Aug. 26, 14:30

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Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

05 by end of 2026/08 i.e. Aug 20261%

Regeln

To be operational, a Starship must have launched.

Manifold Markets
  • A Starship in flight is still operational if there is a payload deployment expected or is carrying goods to a landing destination or operations on the Starship are continuing eg an operating telescope built into a starship would be operational as long as the telescope has use.
  • This almost certainly means at least communications with the Starship must still be possible.
  • After the operational phase of a flight, a starship is operational if the intent is to recover it for reuse.
  • Starships that have landed or been caught are considered operational if there is intent to reuse or there is no available information indicating otherwise.
  • For example, if it is known that a vehicle has been or is in the process of being scrapped or SpaceX announce it cannot or isn't going to be re-flown then it is no longer operational.

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When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

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[Polymarket] What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,607.99+1.74%EthereumETH$1,652.11+1.38%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.14%XRPXRP$1.12-0.23%BNBBNB$595.66+1.32%

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Regeln

To be operational, a Starship must have launched.

Manifold Markets
  • A Starship in flight is still operational if there is a payload deployment expected or is carrying goods to a landing destination or operations on the Starship are continuing eg an operating telescope built into a starship would be operational as long as the telescope has use.
  • This almost certainly means at least communications with the Starship must still be possible.
  • After the operational phase of a flight, a starship is operational if the intent is to recover it for reuse.
  • Starships that have landed or been caught are considered operational if there is intent to reuse or there is no available information indicating otherwise.
  • For example, if it is known that a vehicle has been or is in the process of being scrapped or SpaceX announce it cannot or isn't going to be re-flown then it is no longer operational.