When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race?
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNov 4 2026 -Dec 31 2026 16.4%Führend unter 12 Optionen
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4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet14. Juni 26, 19:25 UTC1. Jan. 28, 05:00 UTC
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KalshiRegeln
This market resolves based on the earliest date on which a serious candidate publicly enters the race for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
- For purposes of this market, a candidate shall be considered to have "entered the race" when they publicly announce their candidacy, establish a presidential exploratory committee, file a Statement of Candidacy (FEC Form 2), or otherwise take an action that is generally recognized by major national media outlets as the beginning of a presidential campaign.
- This market will resolve to the day that the candidate entered the race, but may wait to be resolved until I can determine if the seriousness criteria have been satisfied.
- DEFINITION OF SERIOUS CANDIDATE
- A candidate is considered serious if, within 90 days of entering the race, they satisfy at least one of the following criteria:
- NATIONAL POLLING THRESHOLD
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Nov 4 2026 -Dec 31 2026 mit 16% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race? entschieden?
- When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves based on the earliest date on which a serious candidate publicly enters the race for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.