Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 13.10.2026, 19:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Other 42.4%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Other 42.4%Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet14. Jan. 24, 00:18 UTC21. Jan. 31, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
This market resolves to the year when MrBeast's subscriber count on his channel page first shows 1 billion.
- Resolves to "Never" if YouTube no longer exists, upon the deletion of MrBeast's channel, or upon the death of James Stephen Donaldson (born 7 May 1998).
- The close date is not permanent; closing should be delayed until criteria are met.
- New options will be spun out of “Other” no less than two years before the year occurs.
- For example, if resolution has not been reached by January 2029, then "2031" should have already been made an option.
