Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore Jun 2027 95%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet14. Sept. 26, 11:29 UTC6. Feb. 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Muse Spark 1.4+ (Meta) release date
Manifold MarketsNext Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on?
PolymarketNext Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date?
Polymarket'Watermelon' LLM (Meta) release date
Manifold MarketsWill Meta release Llama 5 this year?
KalshiRegeln
Each option resolves YES if Meta publicly releases downloadable weights for any Muse Spark version before the stated deadline , and NO otherwise.
- Weights must allow independent use.
- Standard registration or license acceptance is fine.
- Announcements, API-only access, selective access, leaks, and other model families do not count.
- Resolution is based on official Meta sources and actual weight availability.