Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2035 or earlier 84.3%Führend unter 7 Optionen
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet7. März 24, 00:46 UTC1. Jan. 35, 12:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will a Starship first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs?
Manifold MarketsBy which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again from the same launch tower/pad it landed at - without being removed from that tower in between the landing and relaunch
- Answers resolve NO once date is passed (or may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain)
- The booster can be picked up by the chopsticks (or equivalent), but if it is placed down on anything other than the launch mount (or equivalent) it is counted as having been removed
- Work done on the vehicle while it's on the launch mount (or equivalent) does not invalidate it
- The launches themselves don't need to be successful
- Starship Super Heavy booster does not need to be its exact name but it must be the first stage of a vehicle referred to in some sense as Starship and must have extensive shared heritage with the current SpaceX vehicle
Offene Märkte
Tech
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2035 or earlier mit 84% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower? entschieden?
- When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower? soll am 1. Januar 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again from the same launch tower/pad it landed at - without being removed from that tower in between the landing and relaunch