Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
US President (I / 3rd Party) 35%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet22. Nov. 25, 21:24 UTC1. Jan. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene ever be president of a new confederacy?
Manifold MarketsWill Marjorie Taylor Greene have a heart attack before the end of May 12th 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile with Donald Trump before her November 3, 2026 reelection?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves to the FIRST public office for which Marjorie Taylor Greene formally files a Statement of Candidacy by Jan 1, 2028.
- the named outcome (2026): Resolves YES if she files for the open seat vacated by Brian Kemp.
- Georgia filing deadline is March 6, 2026.
- the named outcome (2026): Resolves YES if she files to challenge Jon Ossoff.
- US President (Republican): Resolves YES if she files FEC Form 2 for President as a Republican.
- US President (Ind/3rd Party): Resolves YES if she files FEC Form 2 for President as an Independent, Libertarian, or other 3rd party.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be Marjorie Taylor Greene's next declared political run??
- Manifold Markets bewertet US President (I / 3rd Party) mit 35% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be Marjorie Taylor Greene's next declared political run? entschieden?
- What will be Marjorie Taylor Greene's next declared political run? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be Marjorie Taylor Greene's next declared political run? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves to the FIRST public office for which Marjorie Taylor Greene formally files a Statement of Candidacy by Jan 1, 2028.