Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseA (phased) lifting of specific U.S. economic and oil sanctions on Iran. 96.4%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 26, 00:56 UTC1. Jan. 27, 01:40 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
PolymarketRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
PolymarketUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31 ? [Not Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWhat lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the current diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran regarding a long-term peace agreement, during or after the two-week ceasefire period initiated on April 7, 2026.
- If no peace deal is reached by the end of 2026, the options on what will be included resolve NO.
- As of April 8, 2026, the United States and Iran have entered a two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan.
- This pause in military hostilities follows weeks of escalating tensions, during which President Donald Trump issued multiple threats to target Iranian critical infrastructure—specifically bridges and power plants—unless Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and enter into a long-term peace agreement.
- President Trump has characterized the current 10-point proposal from Iran as a "workable basis" for negotiation and has stated that both the U.S. and Iran are "very far along" in drafting a definitive agreement.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal??
- Manifold Markets bewertet A (phased) lifting of specific U.S. economic and oil sanctions on Iran. mit 96% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal? entschieden?
- What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria