Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseA (phased) lifting of specific U.S. economic and oil sanctions on Iran. 96.4%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 26, 00:56 UTC1. Jan. 27, 01:40 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Iran vs US (props)
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Manifold MarketsWill Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the current diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran regarding a long-term peace agreement, during or after the two-week ceasefire period initiated on April 7, 2026.
- If no peace deal is reached by the end of 2026, the options on what will be included resolve NO.
- As of April 8, 2026, the United States and Iran have entered a two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan.
- This pause in military hostilities follows weeks of escalating tensions, during which President Donald Trump issued multiple threats to target Iranian critical infrastructure—specifically bridges and power plants—unless Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and enter into a long-term peace agreement.
- President Trump has characterized the current 10-point proposal from Iran as a "workable basis" for negotiation and has stated that both the U.S. and Iran are "very far along" in drafting a definitive agreement.
