Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore July 2027 83.7%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet18. Okt. 25, 14:11 UTC1. Juli 27, 14:07 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a non-Anthropic company make a Mythos-class model generally available worldwide in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKalshi generally available to UK customers by when?
Manifold MarketsPolymarket generally available to UK customers by when?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date when Waymo officially launches a fully driverless (no human safety driver present) public ride-hailing service in London.
- The service must be generally available to the public for booking rides via the Waymo app or a confirmed partner application.
- The resolution will be based on an official announcement from Waymo (e.g., on its official blog or press releases) or a definitive statement from the UK Department for Transport (DfT) or Transport for London (TfL) confirming the commercial availability of such a service.
- Evidence of availability will include the ability for the general public to request and complete rides without a human safety driver in the vehicle.
- The mere commencement of testing with or without safety drivers, or limited pilot programs not generally available to the public, will not be sufficient for resolution.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 961.071,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 741.910,1 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 701.281,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 685.821 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 907.202,1 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Waymo generally available in London when??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Before July 2027 mit 84% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Waymo generally available in London when? entschieden?
- Waymo generally available in London when? soll am 1. Juli 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Waymo generally available in London when? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria