Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 62.7%
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Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet29. März 23, 01:41 UTC1. Jan. 28, 05:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Video-Game AGI by 2035
Manifold MarketsVideo-Game AGI by 2032
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?
Manifold MarketsMulti year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsWill I get to "Feel the AGI" on the big screen before 2033?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
An AI that can play any video game at human level on consumer hardware (and human-levels of sample efficiency in learning new games)
