Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 72.5% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026? entschieden?

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt

Daten vom 26.10.2026, 11:13 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 72.5%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden

Veraltet

6. Jan. 26, 23:09 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the USA and Russia establish bilateral trade (goods and/or services) in 2026 that was previously prohibited under U.S. sanctions transactions occurring between U.S. and Russian entities in sectors currently restricted, such as energy, defense, financial services, or other sanctioned sectors.
The market resolves NO if no such new bilateral trade occurs during 2026, or if any resumed trade remains limited to currently exempted categories (e.g., agricultural commodities, enriched uranium under existing licenses, or humanitarian goods).
Resolution sources: U.S. Treasury Department OFAC sanctions list, U.S. Trade Representative reports, and official trade data from the U.S. Census Bureau.
Since the February 24, 2022, Russian invasion of Ukraine, the scope and severity of U.S. sanctions and export controls imposed on Russia have expanded significantly.
U.S. goods and services trade with Russia totaled an estimated $5.2 billion in 2024, down 25.8 percent from 2023, with total goods trade at $3.5 billion.