Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 82%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet16. Apr. 25, 19:11 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump succeed in revoking the citizenship of any birthright US citizen?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICC prosecute a US citizen before 2035?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before December 31, 2028, at least one U.S. citizen is confirmed to have been detained in El Salvador's Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT).
- The person must have been a citizen at the time that they were detained; if they lost their citizenship then it does not count.
- The confirmation must come from credible news sources or official government statements.
- If no such detention is confirmed by the end of 2028, the market will resolve to "No."
- The Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT) is a maximum-security prison in Tecoluca, El Salvador, inaugurated in January 2023.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 82% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028? entschieden?
- US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria: