Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 29.10.2026, 12:49 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 89.6%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert gestern
Veraltet4. Jan. 26, 13:20 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
UK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
Manifold MarketsWill the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK Government weaken the ZEV mandate (lowering the 2026 33% target or delaying compliance) before 31 Dec 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK Government establish a dedicated immigration enforcement agency similar to US ICE by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketRegeln
According to
- https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/government-approval?crossBreak=female
- The UK government approval rating among women falls below 5% by the end of the year, or something destabilising happens like the government is dissolved, or replaced by another at a time other than an ordinary regular election.
- If they are voted out in an ordinary and normally timed electoral manner then it resolved N/A. At time of writing (4th of January), the rating is 9%, and it was recently (and plausibly again soon) 7%.
- I think it's worth asking the question of them again for a new year. 🤡🃏 Unfortunately I guess I have to say that the alternatives are worse 🤷♂️.
