Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 07:03 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 76.9%
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24
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet6. Apr. 25, 15:12 UTC23. Jan. 29, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsTrump leaves office over Epstein files?
Manifold MarketsWill any SSRIs be DEA-scheduled before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsHow many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
KalshiHow many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump leaves the office of President of the United States before the scheduled end of his second term on January 20, 2029, for any reason (resignation, impeachment and removal, death, incapacity, etc.).
- It resolves NO if Trump completes his full second term and leaves office on the scheduled transition date (OR attempts to run for a 3rd term and delays transition, etc.)
