Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 89.1%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet9. Sept. 23, 14:30 UTC16. Sept. 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a UK General Election in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a UK General Election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a UK General Election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWill Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRegeln
Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Resolution Date: January 2027 (AI summary of creator comment)
Offene Märkte
ElectionsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom13.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 462.603,5 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1]?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1] entschieden?
- There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1] soll am 16. September 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird There will be 2 or more UK General elections before Jan 2027 [Currently there has be 1] abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Resolution Date: January 2027 (AI summary of creator comment)