Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be...?

Manifold Markets bewertet a robot mit 65.1% (Stand: 28. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be... entschieden?

The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be... soll am 5. April 2042 entschieden werden.

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

a robot 65.1%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

7d-Änderung

0.0 pts

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden

Veraltet

29. März 24, 13:38 UTC5. Apr. 42, 06:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

For this market a "humanoid robot" will be defined as having two (and only two) legs, which are used for significant travel on the surface.

To simplify judgement of what is or isn't humanoid, there is no requirement that the overall appearance be like that of the named outcome.
For example, a two-legged robot whose knees point backward and with dinner-plates for feet would still count as humanoid.