Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 74.5%
Prognostiker
44
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
16. Mai 25, 17:34 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by which date?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWill John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by Sept. 30?
PredictItWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by June 30?
PredictItRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator John Fetterman officially changes his party affiliation from the Democratic Party to any other party or to Independent before the conclusion of the 2028 United States presidential election.
- The change must be publicly announced and reflected in official records, such as the U.S. Senate's party affiliation listings.
- If no such change occurs by the date of the 2028 election, the market will resolve to "No."
- Senator John Fetterman, representing Pennsylvania, has been a member of the Democratic Party throughout his political career.
- In early 2025, speculation arose regarding a potential party switch due to his collaborations with Republican figures and support for certain policies aligned with the GOP.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? entschieden?
- Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria