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Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?
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2026 Texas gubernatorial election - Wikipedia
- Greg Abbott is the Republican nominee.
- Resolves Yes if the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 6 percentage points or more.Outcome verified from Texas Secretary of State or Associated Press.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Resolves same as Kalshi
